Yesterday we covered the null and alternative hypothesis, where
the null can be seen as: not guilty
alternative can be seen as: guilty
Because all statistical tests are made with a degree of probability(termed confidence)
there are chances of making errors in our conclusions which can be expressed in two ways:
Type 1 error: Claiming innocence when there is guilt
Type 2 error: Claiming guilt when there is innocence
Example:
Null: IQ doesn't affect school grades
Alternative: IQ affects school grades
Type 1: We conclude IQ does affect grades, when it really doesn't
Type 2: We conclude that IQ does not affect grades, when it really does
There is no need to break your head trying to understand this, just know that whatever conclusion is made from a statistical test, there is always a chance of it being wrong.
As a rule of thumb, science tries to make sure it is correct 1 out of a 100 times. But 1 in 20 and 1 in 10 are also passable.
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